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Linggo, Disyembre 4, 2011

USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys

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AppId is over the quota

By Walker England, Trading Coach , 14 October 2011 16:30 GMT The USD/JPY has been planted in a range for months. Price has failed to trend by not making new lows or highs since August. Currently support lies at the August 19th low at 75.93. Resistance is established at the September 9th high of 77.84, completing our 191 pip range. Traders have multiple options here, looking for either a breakout or for range bound conditions to continue.

Fundamentally, both of the Dollar and Yen have been competing as safe haven assets. This has caused both to make gains against other currencies. It would be reasonable to expect this trend to continue however, Japanese officials have taken a stand stating that they will be taking steps against a strong Yen. This is exactly the catalyst that we are looking for to potentially break the USD/JPY from its range.

USD.JPY_News_Spurs_Breakout_Entrys_body_Picture_1.png, USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys Taking Price in to a 4Hour chart we can see our established support and resistance lines. Using the news as catalyst traders can begin placing entry orders for a breakout. Entry’s should be placed over the previously discussed September high of 77.84. Traders preferring to trade manually may look for a candle close above this level.

USD.JPY_News_Spurs_Breakout_Entrys_body_Picture_2.png, USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys My preference is to buy a breakout of the USD/JPY over previous highs. Entry’s should be placed over the 78.00 figure with Stops should be placed at half the distance of the previous range at 77.00. Limits should look for a minimum 200 pip gain for a clear 1:2 risk/reward ratio.

Alternative scenarios include price continuing to range between established support and resistance

Additional Resources

Support and Resistance Video

How to Trade Breakouts

--- Written by Walker England ,

To contact Walker , please email Instructor@DailyFX.Com. You can follow on Walker onTwitter @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walkers’ distribution list, please send an email with the subject line “Notification,” to WEngland@fxcm.

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

14 October 2011 16:30 GMT


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Huwebes, Disyembre 1, 2011

Australian Dollar Strength Near Breakout Opportunity

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AppId is over the quota
By: Jeremy Wagner, Lead Trading Instructor, DailyFX Education

Traders are regularly asking what the strongest trends are in the market. The Australian Dollar (AUD) shows up in the analysis as being in the strongest trend based on price movement for the past 2 weeks.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) shows up in the analysis as being a strong currency to buy.

Now, the question is what other currency do we sell to match up against the AUD? To aid in the analysis, we’ll look at the Daily 200 Simple Moving Average of all the AUD pairs.

Australian_Dollar_Strength_Near_Breakout_Opportunity_body_Picture_1.png, Australian Dollar Strength Near Breakout Opportunity (Created using FXCM’s Marketscope 2.0 charts)

I think the Swiss Franc (CHF) is the currency to pair it against making the AUDCHF pair the trend for the week. The price is above the 200 Day SMA (blue line) and price is testing highs from September. If those September highs are broken, then prices would be trading at levels not seen for 5 months.

Therefore, we are looking for buying opportunities as buying the pair would be buying the AUD. One way to trade this would be a breakout out trade with a bullish bias.

Australian_Dollar_Strength_Near_Breakout_Opportunity_body_Picture_2.png, Australian Dollar Strength Near Breakout Opportunity (Created using FXCM’s Marketscope 2.0 charts)

A common way traders use breakouts is with price channels (also known as Donchian Channels). Wait to see if prices break above .9308 to buy. Place a stop loss just below the lower channel. This will use an open limit meaning we’ll manually trail the stop loss if the lower price channel moves higher.

Keep in mind that there are many different time frames of trends in the market today. A position trader may consider a weekly and possibly a daily trend in their analysis. A swing trader may use a 2 hr to daily trend when filtering their trades. A day trader and scalper may use a 30 minute to 2 hr trend.

Additional Resources

A Trending Pip Count (Text)

Identifying the Trend (Video)

Lesson 1 Moving Average Video

Trading with Price (Donchian) Channels

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, Lead Trading Instructor, DailyFX Education

To contact Jeremy, email jwagner@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @JWagnerFXTrader.

To be added to Jeremy’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to jwagner@dailyfx.com.


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Martes, Nobyembre 29, 2011

USDollar Breakout ? Not Yet !

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AppId is over the quota

By Walker England, Trading Instructor , DailyFX Education, 09 November 2011 18:53 GMT The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index Basket (US Dollar) was designed to reflect the strength and weakness of the US Dollar relative to a basket of currencies. Currently, the USDollar is trading off of its October 4th high at 10,134 while creating a higher low at 9,443 on October 27th. As price attempts to make higher highs, trend and breakout traders can begin to look for entrys on the currency basket.

Fundamentally, the dollar has rallied on its status as a safe haven currency. During a “Risk Off“ environment, the USD traditionally rallies on purchases of US paper which is deemed as a relatively safe investment. This has been occurring on a frequent basis as the European debt crisis continues to unfold. As recent headlines suggest the crisis to remain an issue, we will begin looking for opportunities to buy the USDollar.

USDollar_Breakout_Not_Yet__body_Picture_1.png, USDollar Breakout ? Not Yet ! Taking Price in to a 4Hour chart we can better see the USDollar moving in a wedge pattern. Resistance is firmly formed at 9,810 by matching up the October 13th and 18th highs. Despite rallying strong for the month of November, the USDollar has yet to break resistance to form new highs. Breakout traders will see this to set entry orders above this resistance level anticipating price to break higher highs.

USDollar_Breakout_Not_Yet__body_Picture_2.png, USDollar Breakout ? Not Yet ! My preference is to buy the USDollar on a break of resistance. Entry orders should be placed over 9,820. Stops should be placed below support at 9,720. Limits should look for a minimum of 100 pips at 9,920 for a clear 1:2 Risk/ Reward scenario.

Alternative scenarios include price trading under resistance and breaking under the 9,665 low.

Additional Resources

Support and Resistance Video

Trading Breakouts

Identify the Trend

---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor

To contact Walker, emailwengland@fxcm.com. Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to wengland@fxcm.com.

DailyFX providesforex newson the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learncurrency tradingwith a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

09 November 2011 18:53 GMT


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Miyerkules, Setyembre 21, 2011

How to Trade a Breakout Strategy on the EURUSD

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AppId is over the quota
Volatility is on the rise in stocks as the economic outlook is questioned on the heels of a US debt downgrade. EURUSD volatility is surpassing levels not seen since June 2010. When the market gets volatile as we have seen lately, one way to trade it is with a breakout type of strategy.

The Mechanics of a Breakout

Analyze a chart and determine the mood of the market, or trend direction. In the case of the EURUSD, the risk aversion has been contagious lately. Additionally, after finding support at the 200 day Simple Moving Average, prices have failed to create a higher high. Therefore, we will look for and filter for sell trades.

In a selling opportunity, identify levels of support and anticipate a break below support. In a buying market, identify levels of resistance and anticipate a break above resistance. Since we are filtering for sell trades, we are going to identify support and place a trade based on a breakdown through support.

Trading_a_Breakout_on_EURUSD_August_2011_body_Picture_1.png, How to Trade a Breakout Strategy on the EURUSD (Created using FXCM’s Marketscope 2.0 charts)

The benefit of breakout trades is that they do not require any indicators on your chart. Take a clean chart and identify levels of support. I have included the 200 day Simple Moving Average (blue line) as that is often used by large institutions as a level of support. Horizontal support rests at the low of Friday’s candle (1.4055). Additionally, the 200 SMA is nearby at 1.3940. This congestion zone of 1.3940 to 1.4055 will likely provide at a minimum temporary support for prices should they fall further.

The Entry and Stop Loss

Place an entry order to sell 1 pip below the support level or at 1.3940.

When identifying our stop placement, scale down to a smaller time frame chart (between 1hr and 4hr time frame). Place the stop loss just above the swing high in this case because we are creating a sell entry order. Now, take twice the distance of your stop loss and project that from your entry point for a take profit level.

One of the important rules of trade management we discuss inside the DailyFX EDU webinars is risking less than 5% of your account on all open trades. ( Here is a short video on Money Management of trades. )

The benefit of a breakout type of strategy is that we can be wrong on the trading idea, meaning the price of the EURUSD can move straight higher from here, yet we miss out on a losing trade. As a trader, not only do I want to enter into winning trades, but I also want to be kept out of losing trades. A breakout style of trading can help navigate volatile waters and keep you out of some losing trades.

Additional Educational Resources

How to Trade with Support and Resistance Part 1

How to Trade Trend Line Support and Resistance – Part 2

How to Trade Moving Averages

Also, join me tomorrow at 13:00 GMT (9am ET) at the DailyFX Trading Room for a live webinar on trading the USDollar. This is an opportunity to discuss the current market events and ways to trade it on the USDollar. Ask your questions in real time.

I look forward to seeing you there!

Jeremy Wagner contributes to the Instructor Trading Tips articles.

http://www.dailyfx.com/how_to_trade_forex/course_trading_tips

To receive more timely notifications on his reports, email jwagner@fxcm.com to be added to his distribution list.


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Linggo, Setyembre 18, 2011

USD/SGD preparare per Breakout sotto 1.1988

Da Inghilterra Walker, istruttore di Trading, 31 agosto 2011 13:56 GMT The USD/SGD ha continuato la sua graduale discesa a nuovi minimi dal ultima menzionare la coppia con il grafico del giorno 17 maggio, Flying Tigers. La coppia ha lasciato cadere un ulteriore pips 361 e scavato un nuovo minimo il 27 luglio a 1.1988. In precedenza che stavamo cercando un breakout sulla coppia puntando Bassi freschi, 1.2150 di targeting. Come la coppia viene posizionato e consolida, ancora una volta possiamo guardare per un breakout in direzione della nostra tendenza più ampia.

Il dollaro di Singapore come un baluardo della forza in travi al momento della crisi finanziaria mondane. Business è ancora LEED dal dichiarato il terzo più rapida crescita economia del 2010 (14.47% la crescita del PIL). Per aggiungere al suo credito, Singapore recentemente è stato accreditato come il miglior paese al mondo per fare affari nel 2011, con la Banca mondiale, il paese suo ambiente amichevole e la loro economia in rapida crescita. Se questo boom continua ad essere la norma, possiamo ragionevolmente supporre che questa tendenza valuta continuerà così. USD_SGD_Prepares_For_Breakout_Under_1.1988_body_Picture_1.png, USD/SGD Prepares For Breakout Under 1.1988 Prezzo prezzo azione prendendo a un grafico a 8 ore possiamo vedere nel USD/SGD cominciano ad abbassare in un cuneo consolidamento del modello. Resistenza è stato costruito in connessione creata nostro 4 agosto alta a 1.2257 con gli stoppini 8 agosto e XVIII. Supporto si trova ancora al nostro tutto tempo bassa, 1.1988. I commercianti di breakout possono iniziare cercando entrys, agli scambi con la tendenza su bassi freschi. USD_SGD_Prepares_For_Breakout_Under_1.1988_body_Picture_2.png, USD/SGD Prepares For Breakout Under 1.1988 Trading opportunità My preferenza è quello di vendere il USD/SGD una pausa di sostegno. Vendere gli ordini dovrebbe essere posto sotto il supporto a 1.1970. Fermate dovrebbero rischiare 135 pips a 1.2105 limiti metterà alla prova nuovi minimi a 1.1700 per un chiaro rischio ricompensa rapporto 1:2. Gli scenari alternativi comprendono prezzo continuando a consolidare ulteriormente, prima di un'eventuale rottura. Walker England contribuire agli articoli istruttore Trading suggerimenti. Per ricevere più notifiche tempestive sui suoi rapporti, e-mail wengland@fxcm.com per essere aggiunto alla lista di distribuzione.

DailyFX fornisce notizie forex sulle relazioni economiche e avvenimenti politici che influenzano il mercato valutario.
Imparare la moneta di scambio con un account di prove libere e le tabelle da FXCM.

31 Agosto 2011 13:56 GMT


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Martes, Setyembre 13, 2011

USD/CHF 4.665 Pip tendenza a Breakout

Non è ora un segreto che la BNS (Banca Nazionale Svizzera) ha preso provvedimenti per impedire ulteriore apprezzamento della sua moneta. Questa azione ha temporaneamente sospeso il nostro multiyear giù tendenza sulla coppia USD/CHF. Dal suo picco nel giugno del 2010 (1.1730) il USD/CHF ha spostato 4.665 pips al suo basso il 9 agosto di quest'anno. La coppia ha recentemente scavato un basso mensile in 76.78 solo 6 punti timidi del 2011 basso istituito nel marzo. Prezzo attualmente risiedono presso. 7860, cadendo solo timido del livello psychological.8000. A questo punto che è difficile (se non impossibile) per determinare se, quando o dove la BNS può rientrare nel mercato a nome della loro moneta. Come l'economia globale continua a migranti, è certo che gli investitori pretenderanno valute di rifugio sicuro come il franco svizzero. Con fattori fondamentali miscelati, possiamo usare strategia breakout per approfittare della nostra prossima oscillazione del mercato. USD.CHF_4665_pip_trend_to_breakout_body_Picture_1.png, USD/CHF 4,665 Pip Trend to Breakout Prezzo azione prendendo il prezzo in a un grafico di 30 minuti possiamo meglio vedere livelli di supporto e resistenza stabilito durante questa settimana di negoziazione. Supporto risiedono at.8000 e si trova proprio sotto la resistenza vicino. 7750. Gamme sono sempre un precursore di un futuro breakout. Immissione ordini servirà meglio i commercianti cercando la prossima mossa di mercato incerta di direzione. Bracketing prezzo azione come si vede qui sotto, possiamo prendere vantaggio di spostare a nuovi massimi o minimi freschi. USD.CHF_4665_pip_trend_to_breakout_body_Picture_2.png, USD/CHF 4,665 Pip Trend to Breakout Trading opportunità My preferenza è utilizzare gli ordini di voce per staffa USD/CHF, in attesa di un fresco breakout. Entrys deve essere disposto a comprare over.8050 e di vendere a. 7710. Fermate devono essere collocate il punto medio della nostra gamma di a. 7880. Limiti si rivolgerà un minimo di 340 pips per una ricompensa di rischio 1:2 impostazione chiara. Gli scenari alternativi comprendono prezzo continuando a gamma prima di un breakout. Walker England contribuire agli articoli istruttore Trading suggerimenti. Per ricevere più notifiche tempestive sui suoi rapporti, e-mail wengland@fxcm.com per essere aggiunto alla lista di distribuzione.

DailyFX fornisce notizie forex sulle relazioni economiche e avvenimenti politici che influenzano il mercato valutario.
Imparare la moneta di scambio con un account di prove libere e le tabelle da FXCM.


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