Huwebes, Enero 5, 2012

EURCAD test 18 linea di supporto del mese

EURCAD test 18 linea di supporto del mese

La scorsa settimana, il EURCAD offerto alla vendita opportunità utilizzando la resistenza di linea semplice tendenza. ("Tendenza linea resistenza offerte EURCAD breve opportunità") I prezzi sono ora avvicinandosi al quotidiano zona di supporto di tendenza linea che è stato sul posto dal giugno 2010. Quei commercianti che sono venditori della coppia desidera regolare il loro rischio nel commercio in attesa di far per rimbalzare.

EURCAD_Tests_18_Month_Support_Line_body_Picture_1.png, EURCAD Tests 18 Month Support Line(Creato usando le tabelle di 2.0 classici di FXCM)

Come possiamo vedere dal grafico qui sopra, una pendenza verso l'alto la linea di tendenza in atto dal giugno 2010 attraversa oggi nei pressi di 1.3300. Questa zona di prezzo rischia di produrre un certo tipo di far per rimbalzare al rialzo. Noi non sappiamo la lunghezza del salto fino (se continua) fino a dopo la mossa è stata completata. Ci sono un paio di modi diversi di commerciante che è breve il EURCAD non è possibile gestire questo commercio nel frattempo.

Il commerciante può essere felice con il commercio attuale e chiuderlo per un profitto appena sopra il livello del 1.3300 (non è necessario essere avidi su una mossa di 200 pip). Dormire un po quindi cercare una possibilità di negoziazione. Il commerciante può stringere loro stop loss per 1.3450 di bloccaggio in alcuni profitti ma dando la camera di commercio di rompere possibilmente sotto la pendenza verso l'alto linea di supporto. Quale scelta il commerciante fa sopra dipende dalla loro propensione al rischio e il sentimento della coppia EURCAD. Conservatore commerciante può decide di bloccare il commercio e prendere profitti. Al commerciante più aggressivo alla ricerca di un continuationof che la tendenza verso il basso può spostare ogni giorno decide di rischiare di alcuni dei profitti per ora potenziale ricompensa di un'estesa mossa verso il basso.

Per saperne di più circa l'importanza di linee di tendenza, costruzione di tendenza linee, come usarli per identificare le voci, Guarda questo video da Las Vegas:

Utilizzando linee di tendenza per ottimizzare le voci

Buona fortuna e buone feste!

Risorse aggiuntive

Tendenza linea resistenza offerte EURCAD breve opportunità

Supporto e resistenza

Denaro gestione lezione 1 Video

Amico di operatore professionale: tendenze

-Scritto da Jeremy Wagner, condurre Trading istruttore di educazione DailyFX

Per contattare Jeremy, e-mail jwagner@dailyfx.com. Seguimi su Twitter a @ JWagnerFXTrader.

Per essere aggiunto alla lista di distribuzione di posta elettronica di Jeremy, inviare un'e-mail con oggetto "Lista di distribuzione" a jwagner@dailyfx.com.


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Linggo, Disyembre 4, 2011

USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys

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By Walker England, Trading Coach , 14 October 2011 16:30 GMT The USD/JPY has been planted in a range for months. Price has failed to trend by not making new lows or highs since August. Currently support lies at the August 19th low at 75.93. Resistance is established at the September 9th high of 77.84, completing our 191 pip range. Traders have multiple options here, looking for either a breakout or for range bound conditions to continue.

Fundamentally, both of the Dollar and Yen have been competing as safe haven assets. This has caused both to make gains against other currencies. It would be reasonable to expect this trend to continue however, Japanese officials have taken a stand stating that they will be taking steps against a strong Yen. This is exactly the catalyst that we are looking for to potentially break the USD/JPY from its range.

USD.JPY_News_Spurs_Breakout_Entrys_body_Picture_1.png, USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys Taking Price in to a 4Hour chart we can see our established support and resistance lines. Using the news as catalyst traders can begin placing entry orders for a breakout. Entry’s should be placed over the previously discussed September high of 77.84. Traders preferring to trade manually may look for a candle close above this level.

USD.JPY_News_Spurs_Breakout_Entrys_body_Picture_2.png, USD/JPY News Spurs Breakout Entrys My preference is to buy a breakout of the USD/JPY over previous highs. Entry’s should be placed over the 78.00 figure with Stops should be placed at half the distance of the previous range at 77.00. Limits should look for a minimum 200 pip gain for a clear 1:2 risk/reward ratio.

Alternative scenarios include price continuing to range between established support and resistance

Additional Resources

Support and Resistance Video

How to Trade Breakouts

--- Written by Walker England ,

To contact Walker , please email Instructor@DailyFX.Com. You can follow on Walker onTwitter @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walkers’ distribution list, please send an email with the subject line “Notification,” to WEngland@fxcm.

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

14 October 2011 16:30 GMT


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Rischio è su, ma per quanto tempo?

Rischio è su, ma per quanto tempo? Da James b. Stanley se ho mostrato 10 commercianti il grafico seguente (EUR/USD ogni ora), abbiamo avuto probabilmente ottenere almeno 6 di quei commercianti considerando questo qualche forma di un 'up-trend'. Risk_is_on_but_for_how_long_js_body_Picture_1.png, Risk is On, But for How Long? Euro-dollaro ha attraversato oltre 500 semi in un po ' nel tempo di una settimana. La coppia è trading nella metà superiore del canale che io avevo disegnato sopra, anche mostrando propensione di potenzialmente uscire di quel canale. In questa situazione, il rischio è decisamente più su. Gli investitori, gli operatori da tutto il mondo sembrano essere alzando fuori la pila montagnosa di cattive notizie ortografia imminente castigo per economie di tutto il mondo. Ricapitoliamo alcuni di questa brutta notizia. Abbiamo avuto più downgrade sul debito sovrano europeo, con 2 tagli tacca venendo il venerdì dopo Londra chiuse per il giorno. Il PIIGS è solo una parte del problema come notizie sono venuto fuori di insolvenza potenziale per le banche di Belgio (Dexia). Il problema non sembra conteneva il PIIGS (Portogallo, Italia, Irlanda, Grecia e Spagna) e la minaccia di contagio si sente come è molto più di una minaccia, ma una possibilità realistica. Il FMI e BOE ora entrambi sono usciti su avviso record di a 'Tracollo finanziario globale'. (Mervyn King della Banca d'Inghilterra e Robert Shapiro del FMI) La Federal Reserve statunitense è massicciamente overleveraged, esacerbando qualsiasi potenziali rimedi possono avere a loro disposizione. In queste situazioni, gli investitori normalmente imbarcarsi su un volo per qualità. Questo è dove i commercianti e gli investitori saranno posto premio sulla sicurezza del loro investimento, per volere di potenziali tassi di rendimento. Se gli investitori sono preoccupati per una recessione, essi generalmente gregge a uno dei beni più sicuri del mondo - il tesoro degli Stati Uniti. Come qualsiasi altri mercati, acquisto può spingere più elevato e può spingere il prezzo di vendita inferiore al prezzo. Il rendimento del tesoro 3 mesi in realtà è diventato negativo poco prima della operazione Twist. Ciò significa che gli investitori sono state pagando il governo degli Stati Uniti, per il loro prestito denaro. That's right, l'opposto di qualsiasi altra soluzione di prestito probabilmente avete sentito. In questo caso, l'interesse di paga creditore per il diritto di prestito di denaro di debitore. Rendimenti non rimanere lunghi, ma l'interesse del tesoro per negativo è emblematico dell'attuale contesto economico; un ambiente in cui la paura sembra governare il giorno. Ma non oggi. Oggi stiamo vedendo l'opposto di quello, per volontà dell'investitore di assumersi rischi spinge euro, sterline, dollari australiani e superiori. Sembra esserci una disconnessione qui. Questo scollamento può essere la mia occasione. Astuto commercianti con orizzonti più a lungo termine possono fare un passo indietro e guardare questo grafico giornaliero della stessa coppia di valuta che stavamo guardando sopra: Risk_is_on_but_for_how_long_js_body_Picture_4.png, Risk is On, But for How Long? avviso che il prezzo è insinuata fino al ritracciamento 38,2% di questo violento spostare verso il basso. Questo mi viene in grado di iniziare cercando di lato corto del commercio, in attesa di ulteriore pressione d'acquisto di dollari USA. Vedendo la foresta dagli alberi, non commercio avviene nel vuoto. Questa è una delle ragioni per cui un approccio "top-down" e l'Alleanza delle tendenze principali e generale è così importante. Questo è solo uno delle molte strategie che parliamo in DailyFX + Trading Room. Se noi non hanno aderito nella DailyFX + Trading camera ancora, non esitate a venire e vedere che cosa offriamo a tutti i client FXCM Live. Sulla cima del DailyFX + corso di Trading, ospitiamo live webinar 3 - 4 volte al giorno di negoziazione in cui abbiamo grafico e diagramma nostri commerci e studente-commercianti può chiederci domande in real - time su strategie, messe a punto o attuali condizioni di mercato. È possibile spostarsi direttamente al DailyFX + Trading Room dal link qui sotto: DailyFX + Trading Room - scritto da James b. Stanley A contatto James Stanley, si prega di e-mail Instructor@DailyFX.Com. James potete seguire su Twitter @ JStanleyFX. Per essere aggiunto alla lista di distribuzione di James', inviare un'e-mail con oggetto "Notifica", a Instructor@DailyFX.com.

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Sabado, Disyembre 3, 2011

AUD/CAD MACD Divergence Cues Reversal

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By Walker England, Trading Coach, 02 November 2011 11:57 GMT The AUD/CAD continues to be a unique currency as it compares two commodity currencies. The Aussie Dollar has traditionally tied to gold while the Canadian Dollar is directly associated with oil prices. While both commodities have been on a boom, it has been the Aussie that has emerged the stronger currency. Now as the pair created a new high on October 28th at 1.0663 traditional divergence has begun to appear.

Traditional divergence can be an early warning signal of a turn in a currency pair and an end to long standing trends. Divergence itself is defined as a separation, and that is what we are looking to find on our graph. Below, you will find that the AUD/CAD has been printing higher highs for 12 months. However, during the same period the MACD indicator has been creating lower lows. This separation of price from the indicator is exactly what we are looking for, to begin looking for breaks in our trend.

AUD.CAD_MACD_Divergence_Cues_Reversal__body_Picture_1.png, AUD/CAD MACD Divergence Cues Reversal Taking Price in to a 1Hour chart we can see a triangle pattern forming on the AUD/CAD pair. Price has formed resistance by connecting the 1.0663 high from October 28th with the November 2nd high at 1.0582. Support is found by connecting the October 21st low at 1.0375 and the November 1st low at 1.0441. After finding these levels, triangle traders will then have a choice of trading a bounce or a break of the support line mentioned above.

AUD.CAD_MACD_Divergence_Cues_Reversal__body_Picture_2.png, AUD/CAD MACD Divergence Cues Reversal My preference is to set entry orders on a break of support, below our previous low near 1.0415. Stops should be placed 60 points away at 1.0475. Limits should look to first target at 1.0295 for a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward setting. Secondary targets can be placed at 10175.

Alternative scenarios include price breaking through support for another attempt at higher highs.

Additional Resources

Support and Resistance Video

Trading Breakouts

False Entry Signals

---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor

To contact Walker, emailwengland@fxcm.com. Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to wengland@fxcm.com.

DailyFX providesforex newson the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learncurrency tradingwith a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

02 November 2011 11:57 GMT


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Biyernes, Disyembre 2, 2011

Price Action Breakouts

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Price Action Breakouts

Price action traders feel that everything that is needed to analyze markets is available directly from the price chart, including a mechanism with which to enter into strong moves AS they begin.

What is this mechanism?

The mechanism is simply price itself.

After our last article investigating swing-highs and swing-lows, we can now look for areas of support and resistance as substantiated by the market.

For instance, on the chart below, notice the up-trend in the AUD/USD currency pair as price approaches the vaulted ‘parity,’ value.

Price_Action_Breakouts_JS_body_Picture_1.png, Price Action Breakouts (Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

As a side-note, parity is often considered a form of ‘psychological,’ resistance as it is an even, whole number. When placing orders, as matter of natural human behavior, many traders will look to round numbers for setting of stops or limits.

This can greatly alter price action, as up-trends can be slowed by the selling that ensues with a litany of stops hit at a pre-determined price. We will investigate psychological support and resistance in a future price action piece, but for now, let’s just consider that this could be a form of resistance.

As price crosses this ‘psychological,’ level of parity, notice the sell-off that ensues. This can be predicated by limit orders that traders have placed on long positions. Once this 1.00 even level has been hit, an onslaught of sell orders come as those limits execute.

On the other end of the trade, we have short-sellers that have placed stops at that nice, round, even value of 1.0000. Once price hits parity, those stops get triggered, further exacerbating the selling that is taking place.

This brings on an entire change in momentum; as you can notice the trend-line that had supported the pairs’ bullishness on the run-up gets broken; and then price action heads lower.

The astute trader could take a step back and imagine:

The pair previously had a lot of bullishness (which is why price had run up to parity in the first place). The turn-around at 1.0000 even may have been brought on from protective stop or limit orders. If price moves up to that level again (with strength) it may break this resistance and just continue running.

This is the breakout trade. Taking these major levels of support and/or resistance and opening positions with the prevailing momentum at the time.

But what if support or resistance is far away from any psychological levels?

That’s ok, we can grade support and resistance in a variety of ways; not just with psychological levels.

For instance, in the below chart, we’ve taken a snapshot of the AUD/USD currency pair. As price runs up to .9876, we seem to hit an area of resistance. This can be identified by the fact that price wicks up to .9876 and is met by selling.

Price_Action_Breakouts_JS_body_Picture_4.png, Price Action Breakouts (Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

Price then ‘re-tests,’ this .9876 level again, this time to be met with massive selling as you can see price going down by over 100 pips shortly thereafter. This should look similar to the previous chart, when price was rejected around the psychological level of parity (1.0000).

Many traders will consider the 2 points of resistance as a ‘double-top,’ candle formation. This is another tool that can be used by price action traders that we will investigate in a future piece, but for now, lets examine this level as points of resistance.

Notice, the second inflection off of .9876 wasn’t EXACTLY at .9876. This is, often-times, how price action support and resistance will work. As a ‘zone,’ of support and/or resistance; rarely is support or resistance an exactly perfect price.

The astute trader could have recognized this occurrence, and the fact that Aussie seemed to be resisting the .9876 resistance zone; and hypothesized that once AUD/USD finally broke through .9876, it may have some room to run to the upside.

Below is the same chart we were looking at previously, only this time we’re looking at what happened after the .9876 resistance zone was broken.

Price_Action_Breakouts_JS_body_Picture_7.png, Price Action Breakouts (Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

As you may notice, the bullish strength that invigorated the AUD/USD currency pair enough to break the .9876 resistance zone continued for over 125 pips.

This is the breakout, and there is more than one way to do it.

The important thing is to identify support or resistance that we feel strongly about, and then using effective mannerisms to enter into those situations.

Links to additional resources:

Price Action, an Introduction

Price Action Swings

Price Action Pin Bars

Support and Resistance lesson 1 (On-Demand Video Course)

DailyFX+ Trading Room

--- Written by James B. Stanley

To contact James Stanley, please email Instructor@DailyFX.Com. You can follow James on Twitter @JStanleyFX.

To be added to James’ distribution list, please send an email with the subject line “Notification,” to Instructor@DailyFX.com.


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UK100 Si sposta a variare resistenza a 5.400

Indice UK100 (FTSE) è rimasta Stephen negli ultimi tre mesi. Nonostante un forte estate spostarsi dal luglio alta a 6.083 la bassa, 4.783, agosto prezzo è attualmente in fase di stallo. Da questo punto in avanti la UK100 non è riuscito a commercio più alti o bassi inferiori si spostano in una gamma punto 400. Fino a quando a breakout continua, i commercianti di gamma avranno l'opportunità di commercio livelli di supporto e resistenza. Fondamentalmente, gli scambi in tutto il mondo rimangano piano e la UK100 non fa eccezione. I commercianti restano scettici degli inventari, in particolare dopo il 14% selloff descritto sopra. I governi di tutto il mondo sono ora rimescolando per provare diverse forme di stimolo per stimolare la crescita economica con un successo limitato. Fino a quando ferma piano di azione falls attuato possiamo ragionevolmente supporre presente ricorso al prezzo di rimanere gamma associato. UK100_Moves_to_Range_Resistance_at_5400_body_Picture_1.png, UK100 Moves to Range Resistance at 5,400 Prezzo prendendo in a un grafico a 4 ore possiamo vedere la nostra gamma ben definito sulla UK100. Resistenza è formata da connessione nostri alti del 16 agosto, 1 ° settembre e 15 settembre vicino il 5.400 contrassegnare. Il CCI (canale commodity Index) ci può aiutare a determinare la voce nei pressi di resistenza. Gamma commercianti attenderà l'indicatore di tornare indietro di sotto di 100 iscritti. UK100_Moves_to_Range_Resistance_at_5400_body_Picture_2.png, UK100 Moves to Range Resistance at 5,400 La mia preferenza è quello di vendere due lotti della UK100 su un crossover di ITC da livelli di ipervenduto. Gli ordini devono essere collocati come vicino come possibile alla resistenza 5.375 o meglio. Fermate devono essere posto 200 punti in coincidenza con la metà la nostra gamma distanza. Limiti dovrebbero guardare al primo target 5.175 con il nostro primo sacco e poi 4.975 per il nostro secondo obbiettivo. Gli scenari alternativi comprendono prezzo sfondare resistenza e passare a nuovi massimi. Ulteriori risorse di supporto e resistenza Video Trading sblocchi JW Ranger strategia Walker Inghilterra contribuire agli articoli istruttore Trading suggerimenti.Per ricevere più notifiche tempestive sui suoi rapporti, e-mail wengland@fxcm.com per essere aggiunto alla lista di distribuzione.

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Price Action, an Introduction

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Price Action, an Introduction

Technical Analysis is the process of using the price chart itself to assist in trading decisions. While this may sound initially confusing, please let me explain.

The price chart, reflecting all changes that have happened to price within a specified period, can be looked at another way; the price chart can also be considered a gauge of trader’s sentiment during that same specified period.

As news came out that was bullish for the asset, the market prices that news accordingly to reflect a higher price. If news came out that was bearish, the exact opposite can be true, the chart will reflect losses to account for the incorporation of this new information.

Future events, which have not yet taken place, are unknown and as such, are not yet currently reflected in price.

The Technical Analyst operates under the presumption that the chart, at any point in time, reflects the sentiment of all known information in regards to that asset at that specific moment in time.

If the trader tries to read the price chart directly, it can often prove confusing. Price movements can, often-times, appear erratic and chaotic with little rhyme or reason. Below is a weekly chart of the EUR/USD currency pair. This chart, which contains an uptrend, a downtrend as well as an element of ‘congestion,’ could prove difficult for a trader to analyze.

Price_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_1.png, Price Action, an Introduction This is where indicators can help.

Indicators, based on past price information, can be added in an effort to assist the trader in making heads or tails of what is actually going on. The list of possible indicators to be used can go on for quite awhile, and there are a lot of different mannerisms in which indicators can come into play. But there is one universal concept that many Technical Analysts try to keep in mind:

No indicators or Trading Systems works 100% of the time.

Once again, we have to remember that price action, like any other future event, is unpredictable – especially when we’re using past price information to make those decisions.

This is where price action can help.

Price action is the process of using the price chart itself, without any indicators, to assist in trading decisions.

To get started, lets first look at one of the more pertinent areas of analysis: Trend identification.

Many traders, with the idea that future prices are unpredictable, simply try to use Technical Analysis to try to ‘get the odds on their side.’

Traders can attempt to identify their trend under the presumption that price, of recent, had shown a bias in one direction and that bias may, perhaps, continue. If price is in a down-trend, then traders can look to initiate short positions in an attempt to be on the correct side of this bias in price. If price is showing an up-trend, the exact opposite can be true; where traders are looking to Buy into long positions so that this bias may work for them to push their trades higher.

Below is the same chart we had looked at previously, a weekly EUR/USD chart, but this time we have 2 sections identified.

Price_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_4.png, Price Action, an Introduction No indicators were needed to identify these trends; this was done entirely from the chart itself.

Notice that during the down-trend, price did not make a linear movement down in a straight line. Most of the movement can be explained by big moves down, followed by congested price action, followed by further moves down.

Below is the same chart, but this time we’ve went down to a Daily time-frame.

Price_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_7.png, Price Action, an Introduction Each dark box identifies the periods of ‘congestion,’ during the downtrend.

As the trend began above 1.50, notice the quick movements made as the currency pair trends down. Shortly after piercing 1.45, a run of ~500 pips, the currency pair begins to display congestion; exhibiting price movements that disagree with the direction of the trend.

But these ‘counter-trend,’ price movements don’t last for long, as the currency pair, eventually, strives to even lower levels.

During these periods of ‘congestion,’ or ‘counter-trend,’ price movements, the trader can notice the rice swings displayed on the price chart. Below is our EUR/USD chart with swing-high’s circled in red.

Price_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_10.png, Price Action, an Introduction Did you notice something that was consistent amongst each of these ‘swings?’

Each swing-high is at a lower price than the previous swing.

Lower-lows and lower-highs are being exhibited on the chart. And with this, I can then grade this as a ‘down-trend.’

Price_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_16.png, Price Action, an IntroductionPrice_action_an_introduction_js_body_Picture_13.png, Price Action, an Introduction The exact opposite can hold true for Uptrends.

Over our next few price action articles, we’ll take a look at mechanisms that can be used to potentially trigger into trades in the direction of the trend.

--- Written by James B. Stanley

To contact James Stanley, please email Instructor@DailyFX.Com. You can follow James on Twitter @JStanleyFX.

To be added to James’ distribution list, please send an email with the subject line “Notification,” to Instructor@DailyFX.com.


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